November 02, 2004
The Skinny On Exit Polls
Mystery Pollster: Exit Polls: What You Should KnowA good rundown on exactly how exit polls work. And actuallly, there's no real data to support the belief that either Democrats or Republicans are more or less likely to vote in the morning or afternoon.
The afternoon exit polls are also out at mydd.com - they're about the same as before. Kerry still seems to have the edge.
Remember that in 2000, Gore was ahead in the exit polls. The actual vote total was different. People (morons) took it as proof that exit polling was all screwed up. I still think the other possible explanation is that the votes were changed. Remember that exit polls are the count of who people thought they voted for. They might be wrong.