AZ CO LA PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH Kerry 45 48 42 60 52 51 51 50 58 52 49 57 Bush 55 51 57 40 48 48 47 48 40 43 49 41Exit polls don't take early voting and absentee voting into account. They also don't take fraud into account - these are who voters think they voted for.
Also, word is that Republicans tend to vote earlier in the day than Democrats.
So far it looks like the most common prediction - Kerry holds Gore states plus Florida and New Hampshire - is the most realistic one.
Hhhmmm... I thought it was the Democrats who typically voted early.
I think past trends aren't going to hold true today. This one's got too many wildcards. Let's hope you're right though.
I voted!
Posted by: Jalpuna at November 2, 2004 12:21 PMP.S. I LOVE that PA number. Ohio and Florida look nice too...
...oh, I hope...
Posted by: Jalpuna at November 2, 2004 12:22 PM