January 30, 2004
Dean Down
Daily Kos || Polls, polls, and more pollsLots of talk recently about how Dean is retooling, is not seriously contesting the 2/3 primaries, how he'd be content to get 2nd and 3rd place finishes to pick up some delegates and focus on the Washington/Michigan primaries a few days later.
There was even theorizing that if Dean performs well in the 2/3 states even without winning any of them, then he could still have a really good number of delegates from consistently picking up delegates and being above 15%.
Well, four days before the seven-state 2/3 primaries, and five of the seven states have Dean below the 15% mark needed to land any delegates.
This is enough to officially depress me about Dean's chances.
Someone commented to the polls: "So much for changing the country." It's a bit much, but I'm feeling a hint of that.
Hopefully Kerry will be enough. I did write a long time ago that we couldn't have moderates that were pretending to be liberals, we actually needed liberals that could convincingly seem to be moderates. Kerry fits that bill. I just think Kerry doesn't stand for much though other than being the "electable anyone-but-bush". I think he'll get pounded by the republican congress, while Dean is the only one who has shown up he will stand up for what is right even when it's not popular.